The Crude Art of Policymaking

The denomination I have chosen to analyze is from ecomomist.com printed on June 10, 2004. The title of the clause is the crude art of policy making. This member discusses weather the of import banks should respond to the rise in vegetable petroleum prices by increasing interest set outs. It indicates how puffiness is on a rise from 1.6% in February to 2.5% in May. It is expected that inflation consecrate rise to over 3% shortly. They blame this rise on inflation on high(prenominal) inunct prices as they flush roughly 25% over a year ago.         The article indicates that high oil prices hurt the oil- importation economy in both ways. First, it increases production and reduces profits. Therefore it supplies fewer goods and services at a given price. Second, the higher oil prices transfer the income from oil importation counties to the oil producers. This causes a interdict supply shock and a negative prerequisite shock in the economy. This shock causes higher oil prices and pushes up inflation. The article states that it depends upon how monetary policy reacts and how the contain curve for oil ends up. An example shown is how policy reacted after the 1973-74 oil price increase reacted. To prevent output falling, Americas federal bills rate was cut from 11% to 6% during this time. This resulted in sharply negative real interest rates.

This causes the demand curve to increase, with the cipher to sustainment the output. As a result the prices increased. In launch to diddle inflation down, the central banks had to increase the rate rapidly, which subsequently ca used a deeper recession. After learning this! valuable lesson in the 1970s the central banks embossed interest rates after the oil prices went up in 1979-80 and 1990-91. This was done in order to hold inflation down.         The lesson learned... If you indispensability to get a full essay, order it on our website: BestEssayCheap.com

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